Peer-Reviewed Articles
2020. "Why Governments Have Their Troops Trained Abroad: Evidence from Latin America." International Studies Quarterly, 64(3): 734-
747 [ISA 2016 Dina Zinnes Award][NEPS 2017 Stuart A. Bremer Award].
2020. "Grist to the Mill of Subversion: Strikes and Coups in Counterinsurgencies." European Journal of International Relations, online first (with Belén González and Christian Gläßel) [Replication files].
2019. "Why Underachievers Dominate Secret Police Organizations: Evidence from Autocratic Argentina." American Journal of Political Science, online first (with Christian Gläßel) [Replication files][Blog post].
2018. "Ideology and State Terror: How Officer Beliefs Shaped Repression during Argentina's 'Dirty War'." Journal of Peace Research, 55(2): 206-221 [Replication files].
2014. "Forecasting the Risk of Extreme Massacres in Syria." European Review of International Studies, 1(2): 50-68 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
2013. "Die Blutspur des Vetoes: Eine Prognose zur Gefahr von extremen Massakern in Syrien." Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konflikforschung, 2(1): 6-31 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
747 [ISA 2016 Dina Zinnes Award][NEPS 2017 Stuart A. Bremer Award].
2020. "Grist to the Mill of Subversion: Strikes and Coups in Counterinsurgencies." European Journal of International Relations, online first (with Belén González and Christian Gläßel) [Replication files].
2019. "Why Underachievers Dominate Secret Police Organizations: Evidence from Autocratic Argentina." American Journal of Political Science, online first (with Christian Gläßel) [Replication files][Blog post].
2018. "Ideology and State Terror: How Officer Beliefs Shaped Repression during Argentina's 'Dirty War'." Journal of Peace Research, 55(2): 206-221 [Replication files].
2014. "Forecasting the Risk of Extreme Massacres in Syria." European Review of International Studies, 1(2): 50-68 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
2013. "Die Blutspur des Vetoes: Eine Prognose zur Gefahr von extremen Massakern in Syrien." Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konflikforschung, 2(1): 6-31 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
Policy Papers
2020. "Die gefährliche Allianz zwischen Populisten und Militär." KoBra Brasilicum, 257: 38-39 [in German].
2020. "Dangerous Alliances: Populists and the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 1: 1-12 [in German][in English].
2018. "The Return of the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 7: 1-11 (with Sabine Kurtenbach) [in German][in English].
2020. "Dangerous Alliances: Populists and the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 1: 1-12 [in German][in English].
2018. "The Return of the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 7: 1-11 (with Sabine Kurtenbach) [in German][in English].
Blog Post
2018. "Making Sense of Trump’s War against the Islamic State." Political Violence at @ Glance [Blog post].
