Peer-Reviewed Articles
2024 . "Foreign Training, Course Content, and Political Militarization." World Politics, accepted for publication (with Jesse D. Savage). [Abstract]
2024. "Does Sportswashing Work? First Insights from the 2022 World Cup in Qatar." Journal of Politics, accepted for publication (with Christian Gläßel and Pearce Edwards). [Paper][Media: NZZ]
2023. "The Political Effects of Witnessing State Atrocities: Evidence from the Nazi Death Marches." Comparative Political Studies, online first (with Alexander De Juan, Christian Gläßel, and Felix Haass).
2022. "International Sports Events and Repression in Autocracies: Evidence from the 1978 FIFA World Cup." American Political Science Review, 117(3): 909-926 (with Christian Gläßel and Pearce Edwards)[Podcast: Berlin Security Beat][Blog posts: Inkstick, Political Violence @ A Glance][Media: Economist, Times, NZZ, Spiegel, Washington Post, Haaretz, Deutsche Welle, ZDF, Politiken, Journalisten, Kurier, MDR, DR P1, DLF Nova, La Presse, Le Devoir, Altinget, Courier International, ABC][Award: Best Article Award, APSA].
2022. "Career Pressures and Organizational Evil: A Novel Perspective on the Study of Organized Violence." International Studies Review, 24(3): 1-23 (with Christian Gläßel).
2022. "Pro-Government Militias and Conflict.'' Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.33 (with Sabine C. Carey and Neil Mitchell) [Dataset].
2020. "Why Underachievers Dominate Secret Police Organizations: Evidence from Autocratic Argentina." American Journal of Political Science, 64(4): 791-806 (with Christian Gläßel) [Replication files][Blog post].
2020. "Why Governments Have Their Troops Trained Abroad: Evidence from Latin America." International Studies Quarterly, 64(3): 734-
747 [ISA 2016 Dina Zinnes Award][NEPS 2017 Stuart A. Bremer Award].
2020. "Grist to the Mill of Subversion: Strikes and Coups in Counterinsurgencies." European Journal of International Relations, 26(4): 1032-1060 (with Belén González and Christian Gläßel) [Replication files].
2020. "Capturing Group Alignments: Introducing the Government and Armed Actors Relations Dataset (GAARD)." Research & Politics, DOI: 10.1177/2053168020971891 (with Sabine Otto and Anita R. Gohdes) [Dataset][Replication files][Supplementary files].
2018. "Ideology and State Terror: How Officer Beliefs Shaped Repression during Argentina's 'Dirty War'." Journal of Peace Research, 55(2): 206-221 [Replication files].
2014. "Forecasting the Risk of Extreme Massacres in Syria." European Review of International Studies, 1(2): 50-68 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
2013. "Die Blutspur des Vetos: Eine Prognose zur Gefahr von extremen Massakern in Syrien." Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, 2(1): 6-31 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
2024. "Does Sportswashing Work? First Insights from the 2022 World Cup in Qatar." Journal of Politics, accepted for publication (with Christian Gläßel and Pearce Edwards). [Paper][Media: NZZ]
2023. "The Political Effects of Witnessing State Atrocities: Evidence from the Nazi Death Marches." Comparative Political Studies, online first (with Alexander De Juan, Christian Gläßel, and Felix Haass).
2022. "International Sports Events and Repression in Autocracies: Evidence from the 1978 FIFA World Cup." American Political Science Review, 117(3): 909-926 (with Christian Gläßel and Pearce Edwards)[Podcast: Berlin Security Beat][Blog posts: Inkstick, Political Violence @ A Glance][Media: Economist, Times, NZZ, Spiegel, Washington Post, Haaretz, Deutsche Welle, ZDF, Politiken, Journalisten, Kurier, MDR, DR P1, DLF Nova, La Presse, Le Devoir, Altinget, Courier International, ABC][Award: Best Article Award, APSA].
2022. "Career Pressures and Organizational Evil: A Novel Perspective on the Study of Organized Violence." International Studies Review, 24(3): 1-23 (with Christian Gläßel).
2022. "Pro-Government Militias and Conflict.'' Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.33 (with Sabine C. Carey and Neil Mitchell) [Dataset].
2020. "Why Underachievers Dominate Secret Police Organizations: Evidence from Autocratic Argentina." American Journal of Political Science, 64(4): 791-806 (with Christian Gläßel) [Replication files][Blog post].
2020. "Why Governments Have Their Troops Trained Abroad: Evidence from Latin America." International Studies Quarterly, 64(3): 734-
747 [ISA 2016 Dina Zinnes Award][NEPS 2017 Stuart A. Bremer Award].
2020. "Grist to the Mill of Subversion: Strikes and Coups in Counterinsurgencies." European Journal of International Relations, 26(4): 1032-1060 (with Belén González and Christian Gläßel) [Replication files].
2020. "Capturing Group Alignments: Introducing the Government and Armed Actors Relations Dataset (GAARD)." Research & Politics, DOI: 10.1177/2053168020971891 (with Sabine Otto and Anita R. Gohdes) [Dataset][Replication files][Supplementary files].
2018. "Ideology and State Terror: How Officer Beliefs Shaped Repression during Argentina's 'Dirty War'." Journal of Peace Research, 55(2): 206-221 [Replication files].
2014. "Forecasting the Risk of Extreme Massacres in Syria." European Review of International Studies, 1(2): 50-68 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
2013. "Die Blutspur des Vetos: Eine Prognose zur Gefahr von extremen Massakern in Syrien." Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, 2(1): 6-31 (with Gerald Schneider, Anna Nöh, and Aaron Clauset).
Chapters
2024. "The Authoritarian Security Apparatus: Officer Careers and the Trade-offs in Command." in Research Handbook on Authoritarianism, Natasha Lindstaedt and Jeroen J.J. den Bosch (eds.): Edward Elgar, 111–126 (with Belén González and Christian Gläßel). [Preprint][Appendix]
Policy Papers
2022. "The Recipient Dilemma of Foreign Military Training" On Tracks, 29: 33-44 [English].
2020. "Die gefährliche Allianz zwischen Populisten und Militär." KoBra Brasilicum, 257: 38-39 [German].
2020. "Dangerous Alliances: Populists and the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 1: 1-12 [German][English].
2018. "The Return of the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 7: 1-11 (with Sabine Kurtenbach) [German][English].
2020. "Die gefährliche Allianz zwischen Populisten und Militär." KoBra Brasilicum, 257: 38-39 [German].
2020. "Dangerous Alliances: Populists and the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 1: 1-12 [German][English].
2018. "The Return of the Military." GIGA Focus Latin America, 7: 1-11 (with Sabine Kurtenbach) [German][English].
Blog Post
2018. "Making Sense of Trump’s War against the Islamic State." Political Violence at @ Glance [Blog post].